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Probability Theory by Yuan Shih Chow
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1Noncommutative Analysis, Multivariable Spectral Theory For Operators In Hilbert Space, Probability, And Unitary Representations
By Palle Jorgensen and Feng Tian
Over the decades, Functional Analysis has been enriched and inspired on account of demands from neighboring fields, within mathematics, harmonic analysis (wavelets and signal processing), numerical analysis (finite element methods, discretization), PDEs (diffusion equations, scattering theory), representation theory; iterated function systems (fractals, Julia sets, chaotic dynamical systems), ergodic theory, operator algebras, and many more. And neighboring areas, probability/statistics (for example stochastic processes, Ito and Malliavin calculus), physics (representation of Lie groups, quantum field theory), and spectral theory for Schr\"odinger operators. We have strived for a more accessible book, and yet aimed squarely at applications; -- we have been serious about motivation: Rather than beginning with the four big theorems in Functional Analysis, our point of departure is an initial choice of topics from applications. And we have aimed for flexibility of use; acknowledging that students and instructors will invariably have a host of diverse goals in teaching beginning analysis courses. And students come to the course with a varied background. Indeed, over the years we found that students have come to the Functional Analysis sequence from other and different areas of math, and even from other departments; and so we have presented the material in a way that minimizes the need for prerequisites. We also found that well motivated students are easily able to fill in what is needed from measure theory, or from a facility with the four big theorems of Functional Analysis. And we found that the approach "learn-by-using" has a comparative advantage.
“Noncommutative Analysis, Multivariable Spectral Theory For Operators In Hilbert Space, Probability, And Unitary Representations” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Noncommutative Analysis, Multivariable Spectral Theory For Operators In Hilbert Space, Probability, And Unitary Representations
- Authors: Palle JorgensenFeng Tian
“Noncommutative Analysis, Multivariable Spectral Theory For Operators In Hilbert Space, Probability, And Unitary Representations” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Functional Analysis - Mathematics
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: arxiv-1408.1164
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 4.60 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 27 times, the file-s went public at Sat Jun 30 2018.
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2An Objective Theory Of Probability
By Gillies, D. A. (Douglas Angus)
Over the decades, Functional Analysis has been enriched and inspired on account of demands from neighboring fields, within mathematics, harmonic analysis (wavelets and signal processing), numerical analysis (finite element methods, discretization), PDEs (diffusion equations, scattering theory), representation theory; iterated function systems (fractals, Julia sets, chaotic dynamical systems), ergodic theory, operator algebras, and many more. And neighboring areas, probability/statistics (for example stochastic processes, Ito and Malliavin calculus), physics (representation of Lie groups, quantum field theory), and spectral theory for Schr\"odinger operators. We have strived for a more accessible book, and yet aimed squarely at applications; -- we have been serious about motivation: Rather than beginning with the four big theorems in Functional Analysis, our point of departure is an initial choice of topics from applications. And we have aimed for flexibility of use; acknowledging that students and instructors will invariably have a host of diverse goals in teaching beginning analysis courses. And students come to the course with a varied background. Indeed, over the years we found that students have come to the Functional Analysis sequence from other and different areas of math, and even from other departments; and so we have presented the material in a way that minimizes the need for prerequisites. We also found that well motivated students are easily able to fill in what is needed from measure theory, or from a facility with the four big theorems of Functional Analysis. And we found that the approach "learn-by-using" has a comparative advantage.
“An Objective Theory Of Probability” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ An Objective Theory Of Probability
- Author: Gillies, D. A. (Douglas Angus)
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: objectivetheoryo0000gill
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3DRS 113 Probability Theory Lecture Notes Collection
DRS 113 Probability Theory Lecture Notes collection at Yangon University of Economics
“DRS 113 Probability Theory Lecture Notes Collection” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ DRS 113 Probability Theory Lecture Notes Collection
- Language: kir
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: ➤ drs-113-probability-theory-lecture-notes-collection
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 60.20 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 54 times, the file-s went public at Wed Sep 20 2023.
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4An Enquiry Into The Probability And Rationality Of Mr. Hunter's Theory Of Life : Being The Subject Of The First Two Anatomical Lectures Delivered Before The Royal College Of Surgeons, Of London
By Abernethy, John, 1764-1831, Royal College of Surgeons of England and Hunter, John, 1728-1793
95 p., 16 p. ; 21 cm
“An Enquiry Into The Probability And Rationality Of Mr. Hunter's Theory Of Life : Being The Subject Of The First Two Anatomical Lectures Delivered Before The Royal College Of Surgeons, Of London” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ An Enquiry Into The Probability And Rationality Of Mr. Hunter's Theory Of Life : Being The Subject Of The First Two Anatomical Lectures Delivered Before The Royal College Of Surgeons, Of London
- Authors: ➤ Abernethy, John, 1764-1831Royal College of Surgeons of EnglandHunter, John, 1728-1793
- Language: English
“An Enquiry Into The Probability And Rationality Of Mr. Hunter's Theory Of Life : Being The Subject Of The First Two Anatomical Lectures Delivered Before The Royal College Of Surgeons, Of London” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Human anatomy - Anatomy
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: enquiryintoproba00aberrich
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 275.76 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 1752 times, the file-s went public at Wed Feb 21 2007.
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5DTIC ADA304059: Control Theory And Its Applications, Applications Of Probability, Waves And Scattering.
By Defense Technical Information Center
The 1992-1993 year in Control Theory focused on robotics, optimal control for nonsmooth geometric data, adaptive control and filtering, discrete event systems, and power systems. It brought together mathematicians, electrical engineers and practitioners, who identified current difficulties and challenges. The 1993-1994 year in Emerging Applications of Probability brought together computer scientists and probabilists; it also dealt with stochastic models in geosystems, hidden Markov processes in speech and vision, stochastic networks and branching processes. The 1994-1995 year in Waves and Scattering dealt with random waves, numerical methods including hybrid methods (FFT and wavelets), and inverse problems, such as nondestructive evaluation, acoustics, NMR, Electro-magnetic, and ground penetrating radar.
“DTIC ADA304059: Control Theory And Its Applications, Applications Of Probability, Waves And Scattering.” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ DTIC ADA304059: Control Theory And Its Applications, Applications Of Probability, Waves And Scattering.
- Author: ➤ Defense Technical Information Center
- Language: English
“DTIC ADA304059: Control Theory And Its Applications, Applications Of Probability, Waves And Scattering.” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ DTIC Archive - Friedman, Avner - MINNESOTA UNIV MINNEAPOLIS INST FOR MATHEMATICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS - *PROBLEM SOLVING - *CONTROL THEORY - MATHEMATICAL MODELS - SCATTERING - ROBOTICS - OPTIMIZATION - ADAPTIVE CONTROL SYSTEMS - STOCHASTIC PROCESSES - NONDESTRUCTIVE TESTING - NETWORKS - PROBABILITY - RADAR - POWER SUPPLIES - GEOMETRY - HYBRID SYSTEMS - ACOUSTICS - ADAPTIVE FILTERS - ENGINEERS - INVERSION - SPEECH - VISION - COMPUTER PERSONNEL - WAVES - SCIENTISTS - ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING - EARTH PENETRATING DEVICES.
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: DTIC_ADA304059
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 116.32 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 137 times, the file-s went public at Thu Mar 29 2018.
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6Probability Product Kernels (Special Topic On Learning Theory)
By Tony Jebara, Risi Kondor and Andrew Howard
The 1992-1993 year in Control Theory focused on robotics, optimal control for nonsmooth geometric data, adaptive control and filtering, discrete event systems, and power systems. It brought together mathematicians, electrical engineers and practitioners, who identified current difficulties and challenges. The 1993-1994 year in Emerging Applications of Probability brought together computer scientists and probabilists; it also dealt with stochastic models in geosystems, hidden Markov processes in speech and vision, stochastic networks and branching processes. The 1994-1995 year in Waves and Scattering dealt with random waves, numerical methods including hybrid methods (FFT and wavelets), and inverse problems, such as nondestructive evaluation, acoustics, NMR, Electro-magnetic, and ground penetrating radar.
“Probability Product Kernels (Special Topic On Learning Theory)” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability Product Kernels (Special Topic On Learning Theory)
- Authors: Tony JebaraRisi KondorAndrew Howard
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: ➤ academictorrents_99298a049a113961f3b4cba160ea30c73091c312
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The book is available for download in "data" format, the size of the file-s is: 0.02 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 24 times, the file-s went public at Tue Aug 11 2020.
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7Probability Theory And Related Fields 2000: Vol 116 Contents
The 1992-1993 year in Control Theory focused on robotics, optimal control for nonsmooth geometric data, adaptive control and filtering, discrete event systems, and power systems. It brought together mathematicians, electrical engineers and practitioners, who identified current difficulties and challenges. The 1993-1994 year in Emerging Applications of Probability brought together computer scientists and probabilists; it also dealt with stochastic models in geosystems, hidden Markov processes in speech and vision, stochastic networks and branching processes. The 1994-1995 year in Waves and Scattering dealt with random waves, numerical methods including hybrid methods (FFT and wavelets), and inverse problems, such as nondestructive evaluation, acoustics, NMR, Electro-magnetic, and ground penetrating radar.
“Probability Theory And Related Fields 2000: Vol 116 Contents” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability Theory And Related Fields 2000: Vol 116 Contents
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: ➤ probability-theory-and-related-fields_2000_116_contents
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8Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorials
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin
“Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorials” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorials
- Language: rus
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: fmu-s21probability-msktut
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9Algebraic Probability Theory
By Ruzsa, Imre Z., 1953-
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin
“Algebraic Probability Theory” Metadata:
- Title: Algebraic Probability Theory
- Author: Ruzsa, Imre Z., 1953-
- Language: English
“Algebraic Probability Theory” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung - 60-XX - valószínűségelmélet - Probabilities - Algebra - Probabilités - Algèbre - Topologische Halbgruppe - Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie - Algebre - Probabilites - valoszinusegelmelet
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: algebraicprobabi0000ruzs
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10Applied Problems In Probability Theory
By E. Wentzel and L. Ovcharov
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin
“Applied Problems In Probability Theory” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Applied Problems In Probability Theory
- Authors: E. WentzelL. Ovcharov
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: appliedproblemsi0000ewen
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11Introductory Statistics: Vol 1. Probability And Distribution Theory
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin
“Introductory Statistics: Vol 1. Probability And Distribution Theory” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Introductory Statistics: Vol 1. Probability And Distribution Theory
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: introductorystat0000unse_k3x9
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 373.39 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 25 times, the file-s went public at Tue Jan 23 2024.
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12An Introduction To Probability Theory And Mathematical Statistics
By Rohatgi, V. K., 1939-
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin
“An Introduction To Probability Theory And Mathematical Statistics” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ An Introduction To Probability Theory And Mathematical Statistics
- Author: Rohatgi, V. K., 1939-
- Language: English
“An Introduction To Probability Theory And Mathematical Statistics” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Probabilities - Mathematical statistics
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: introductiontopr0000roha_r2t5
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130325 Book Blei Sidney Banach Spaces Harmonic Analysis And Probability Theory
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin
“0325 Book Blei Sidney Banach Spaces Harmonic Analysis And Probability Theory” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ 0325 Book Blei Sidney Banach Spaces Harmonic Analysis And Probability Theory
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: ➤ 0325-book-blei-sidney-banach-spaces-harmonic-analysis-and-probability-theory
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14DTIC ADA625850: Stochastic Analysis And Applied Probability(3.3.1): Topics In The Theory And Applications Of Stochastic Analysis
By Defense Technical Information Center
Research partially supported by this grant culminated in the submission of twenty eight new research papers twenty three of which have now been accepted for publication. Topics covered in this research include theory of large deviations, stochastic differential games, stochastic control, stochastic networks, random graphs, mean field models, and diffusion approximations. Four Ph.D. students (Xin Liu, Dominik Reinhold, Jiang Chen and Xuan Wang) completed their dissertation under the direction of the PI. Three other Ph.D. students (Abhishek Pal Majumdar, Ruoyu Wu and Eric Friedlander) continued work on their dissertations. Postdoctoral fellows C.Y.Lee, X.Song, S.Saha and L.Fan were partially supported by this grant. Research was disseminated through numerous invited presentations.
“DTIC ADA625850: Stochastic Analysis And Applied Probability(3.3.1): Topics In The Theory And Applications Of Stochastic Analysis” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ DTIC ADA625850: Stochastic Analysis And Applied Probability(3.3.1): Topics In The Theory And Applications Of Stochastic Analysis
- Author: ➤ Defense Technical Information Center
- Language: English
“DTIC ADA625850: Stochastic Analysis And Applied Probability(3.3.1): Topics In The Theory And Applications Of Stochastic Analysis” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ DTIC Archive - NORTH CAROLINA UNIV AT CHAPEL HILL - *STOCHASTIC CONTROL - APPROXIMATION(MATHEMATICS) - GAME THEORY - GRAPHS - MARKOV PROCESSES - MATHEMATICAL MODELS - MEAN - NETWORK ARCHITECTURE - PROBABILITY - RANDOM VARIABLES
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: DTIC_ADA625850
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15Introduction To Probability And Statistical Decision Theory
By G. Hadley
Research partially supported by this grant culminated in the submission of twenty eight new research papers twenty three of which have now been accepted for publication. Topics covered in this research include theory of large deviations, stochastic differential games, stochastic control, stochastic networks, random graphs, mean field models, and diffusion approximations. Four Ph.D. students (Xin Liu, Dominik Reinhold, Jiang Chen and Xuan Wang) completed their dissertation under the direction of the PI. Three other Ph.D. students (Abhishek Pal Majumdar, Ruoyu Wu and Eric Friedlander) continued work on their dissertations. Postdoctoral fellows C.Y.Lee, X.Song, S.Saha and L.Fan were partially supported by this grant. Research was disseminated through numerous invited presentations.
“Introduction To Probability And Statistical Decision Theory” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Introduction To Probability And Statistical Decision Theory
- Author: G. Hadley
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: introductiontopr0000ghad
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16Homotopy Probability Theory II
By Gabriel C. Drummond-Cole, Jae-Suk Park and John Terilla
This is the second of two papers that introduce a deformation theoretic framework to explain and broaden a link between homotopy algebra and probability theory. This paper outlines how the framework can assist in the development of homotopy probability theory, where a vector space of random variables is replaced by a chain complex of random variables. This allows the principles of derived mathematics to participate in classical and noncommutative probability theory. A simple example is presented.
“Homotopy Probability Theory II” Metadata:
- Title: Homotopy Probability Theory II
- Authors: Gabriel C. Drummond-ColeJae-Suk ParkJohn Terilla
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: arxiv-1302.5325
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17Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorial 12
By Alexander Shpilkin
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 12 on 2021-05-09. Erratum: Попытка расчёта интеграла ∫ x dx = 1/2 вероятностными методами (1:56:40) мне не удалась: я описал правильную вероятностную задачу и правильно (хотя и сложновато) получил в ней ответ 1/2, но не показал, почему этот ответ равен ∫ x dx. Это делается так же, как я потом сделал для интеграла ∫ x n dx.
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18Free Moscow University, Spring 2022, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorial 12
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2022, remote tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 12 on 2022-05-15.
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19Theory Of Probability- Random Variables And Their Properties. Expectation.
By Dmitry Panchenko
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2022, remote tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 12 on 2022-05-15.
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20Comparison Of Applying Uncertainty Theory And Probability Theory In Calculating Uncertainty Measures Of Revenue Of Major Crops In Sari Goharbaran
Introduction: Selecting suitable crops for cultivation in a non-certain environment is considered as an important management topic in the agricultural sector. Despite the multiple application of probability theory in quantifying uncertainty in the form of risk programming, validity of this theory depends on the existence of frequency for uncertain variable. For events that cannot be measured by frequency, the only solution is to use subjective judgment of persons in the domain field rather than historical data. Some experts have mistakenly considered subjective judgmentl as a subjective probability and thus used the probability theory to quantify subjective judgmental. But based on existing evidence, the quantification of subjective judgment should be carried out in another theory called the uncertainty theory. In uncertainty theory, in addition to using the belief degree rather than frequency for calculating mathematical moments, the expected value of multiplicative variables will be different with their corresponding relations in the probability theory. Considering these conditions and having in mind that the agricultural sector is always faced with uncertain variables such as price of crops and weather conditions like rainfall, in this study the revenue uncertainty measures of major crops in the Goharbaran region of Sari have been calculated and compared. There are different measures for uncertainty, which in the present study variance and Tail Value at Risk (TVaR) have been used . Materials and Methods: The first step in the application of the uncertainty theory is the elicitation of the belief degree or subjective judgments of the farmers about the crop's price and rainfall during the crop season. To elicit the uncertainty distribution of these variables based on the subjective judgments of farmers, 120 farmers were randomly selected in 2018. After eliciting the farmers' beliefs about uncertain rainfall and prices in the cdf method, it was necessary to select the number of belief degree which current practice was based on previous studies in this field. After calculating the above subjective judgments, while assuming linear, zigzag, normal and normal forms for uncertainty distribution, the parameters of each function were calculated using the least squares method. Among the forms of uncertainty distribution functions, the best form of the uncertainty distribution for each crop's price and rainfall was selected by comparing the RMSE indexes. Subsequently, by calculating a causal relationship between rainfall and crop yield, inverse uncertainty distribution of yield was also extracted. Given the inverse uncertainty distribution functions of crop price and yield, required parameters such as expected revenue, variance and TVaR of revenue at 95% confidence were calculated based on operational laws of uncertainty theory and probability theory. Eviews and Matlab software were used to estimate the yield response function and the uncertainty distribution functions, respectively. Results and Discussion: In this study, after collecting the belief degree of farmers in the studied area about different levels of price and rainfall, three groups of comprehensive beliefs about prices and rainfall were determined by goodness of fit test. Then, according to the relationship between crop yield and rainfall, the inverse function uncertainty distribution is also calculated. With the uncertainty distribution function of crops price and yield, the expected revenue, variance (standard deviation) and TVaR measure for revenue per hectare of crops were calculated and compared with the uncertainty theory as well as probability theory. Based on the results of this study, the amount of the above measures varied in different belief degree groups, which is due to differences in the uncertainty distribution parameters. Also, based on the results of this study in all groups of beliefs for all crops, the probability theory compared to the uncertainty theory has estimated the variance approximately more than 30% less, which is a significant result. In other words, applying probability theory to belief modeling will lead to erroneous and misleading results. In the case of the TVaR measure in binary multiplicative variable conditions, the use of probability theory and uncertainty theory in calculating TVaR does not yield conflicting results. Conclusion: The purpose of this study was to compare the results of applying probability theory for modeling belief degree rather than uncertainty theory in order to illustrate the necessity of using uncertainty theory in belief degree modeling. Studying the effect of probability theory in modeling the belief degree also suggests that the application of probability theory in the presence of two uncertain variables has no significant effect on expected values and TVaR but has a significant effect on variance size. Based on the results of the present study, assuming the binary multiplicative variable, in calculating higher mathematical moments such as variance, the results of probability theory and uncertainty theory make a considerable difference. This demonstrates the need to promote the uncertainty theory in belief degree modeling. In other words, basic training in the belief degree modeling method should be considered.
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21( Mathematics And Its Applications 26) Shiryayev A. N. Selected Works Of A. N. Kolmogorov. Volume II Probability Theory And Mathematical Statistics Springer ( 1992)
Kolmogorov II
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22Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorial 10
By Alexander Shpilkin
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 10 on 2021-04-25.
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23Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorial 14
By Alexander Shpilkin
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 14 on 2021-05-23. Incomplete recording. Addendum: Уравнение 4 t 3 (1− t ) 2 − 2 t 4 (1− t ) = 0 выглядит страшно, но всё становится просто, если заметить общий множитель t 3 (1− t ) и вынести его. Получается t 3 (1− t )(4−4 t −2 t ) = 0, а произведение равно нулю тогда и только тогда, когда равен нулю один из его множителей, так что кандидатами на максимум получаются точки t = 0, t = 1 и t = 4/6. Первые две — это края отрезка [0,1]; в них правдоподобие равно нулю (они соответствуют тому, что монета всегда падает только одной стороной, а по нашим данным получается оба варианта), так что это минимумы, а не максимумы. Поскольку максимум хоть где-нибудь да будет, он должен быть в последней точке. Таким образом, оценка максимального правдоподобия совпала с очевидной оценкой 4 / (4+2) = (число успехов) / (число испытаний). Теперь, когда мы знаем, что делать, нетрудно сделать этот расчёт и в общем виде, для произвольных k и l. Правдоподобие, как и раньше, есть p k (1− p ) l , так что изменение правдоподобия при небольшом отклонении ε от кандидата t на максимум равно ( t +ε) k [(1− t )−ε] l . Раскрывать скобки в общеми виде было бы грустно, но это и не нужно: как мы только что поняли в случае k = 4, l = 2, нас интересуют только слагаемые нулевой и первой степени по ε, а остальные можно даже не выписывать. [На самом деле и нулевой не нужны, потому что мы заранее знаем, что они в итоге дадут t k (1− t ) l , но их проще оставить.] Первая скобка по биному Ньютона даёт C k 0 t k + C k 1 t k −1 ε + ⋯ = t k + t k −1 ε + ⋯ , вторая C l 0 (1− t ) l − C l 1 (1− t ) l −1 ε + ⋯ = (1− t ) l + (1− t ) l −1 ε + ⋯ (если знаете производную степенной функции — заметьте, что это она), их произведение равно t k (1− t ) l + [ kt k −1 (1− t ) l − lt k (1− t ) l −1 ]ε + ⋯ , так что остаётся, как и раньше, приравнять нулю коэффициент kt k −1 (1− t ) l − lt k (1− t ) l −1 при ε (производная произведения!) и решить получившееся уравнение (случаи k = 0 и l = 0, когда максимум оказывается на краю отрезка, в принципе надо разобрать отдельно, но ответ в них совпадает с полученным по формуле ниже). Снова вынося общий множитель, получаем уравнение t k −1 (1− t ) l −1 [ k (1− t ) − l ] и корни t = 0 (если k > 1), t = 1 (если l > 1) и t = k / ( k + l ). При k , l ≠ 0 максимум на краю отрезка невозможен по той же причине, что и раньше, так что оценка максимального правдоподобия есть k / ( k + l ) и опять совпадает с очевидной (число успехов) / (число испытаний).
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24Online Replication Of The Interpretive Theory-of-Mind Probability Task : Assessing The "Curse Of Knowledge" Effect In Adults
By Arthur Seye, François Osiurak, François Quesque and Yves Rossetti
This study replicates Lagattuta, Sayfan, and Harvey (2014) in an online experiment with ~70 adults recruted on prolific. In this task, each trial begins with a simple picture (a cloud, a castle, or a panda) that is then covered so only a small 1.5"×1.5" fragment remains visible. Informed participants first view and label the full picture, then see only the fragment. Uninformed participants see only the fragment from the start. All participants are asked to judge what a naïve observer—who has never seen the full picture—would think is behind the cover. They first freely guess, then rate a set of seven possible images (the true picture, a basic shape, and various more or less plausible alternatives) on a 0–10 probability scale, removing the ones they believe the observer "definitely would not" choose. By comparing ratings from those who knew the whole image versus those who did not, the task reveals how privileged knowledge distorts our predictions of another person’s thoughts: informed participants overestimate the chance that the observer would pick the correct picture and downplay options that seem plausible when the fragment is viewed in isolation.
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25Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorial 11
By Alexander Shpilkin
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 11 on 2021-05-02. Incomplete recording. Addendum: Все эти (пока безрезультатные) рассуждения про интегралы были нацелены на то, чтобы как-то обосновать теорему де Муавра—Лапласа про приближение биномиального распределения нормальным. Нам понадобятся-таки значения чисел в этом нормальном распределении; целиком оно выглядит как 1/√(2πσ 2 ) × e i 2 /2σ 2 , где σ 2 , которое при внимательном рассмотрении оказывается дисперсией этого распределения, равно дисперсии исходного биномиального, то есть 300. Следующий шаг заключается в том, чтобы приблизить сумму значений уже этого нормального распределения в целых точках от − k до k его интегралом от − k до k , как мы до этого делали для логарифма. Наконец, нужно узнать, при каком k этот интеграл надо обрезать, чтобы результат получился равен 99% (в нашей задаче) или больше. Никакой полезной формулы тут написать нельзя, но люди обычно помнят стандартный набор значений: от −σ до σ лежит ≳ 68% (примерно треть в хвостах), от −2σ до 2σ лежит ≳ 95% (примерно одна двадцатая в хвостах), а от −3σ до 3σ лежит ≳ 99,7% (несколько тысячных в хвостах). Остальные значения можно посмотреть в специальных (полученных численно) таблицах; например, нужный нам однопроцентный хвост нужно отрезать примерно на 2,5 σ. Оба приближения, которые мы использовали в этом процессе (биномиального распределения нормальным и суммы интегралом) для симметричного распределения с параметром 300 (как у нас) имеют пренебрежимо малую ошибку; они вполне прилично работают даже с параметром 10. В итоге в задаче про гардеробы получается так: если положить σ 2 = 300, то там, где неравенство Чебышёва предписывало нам отрезать хвост на 10σ, приближение нормальным распределением говорит, что его достаточно отрезать на 3σ или даже меньше, и (тем же способом) вместо 250 с лишним вешалок с каждой стороны их получается нужно чуть меньше 180. Тут правильно отрезать хвосты с обоих сторон: непопадание в правый хвост означает, что правый гардероб не переполнен, а непопадание в левый — что левый, и оба условия нам нужны. Erratum: В действительности правильное приближение в симметричных координатах выглядит как n ! / 2 n [( n − k )/2]![( n + k )/2]! ≈ 2/√(2π n ) × e k 2 /2 n , с лишней с виду двойкой в числовом коэффициенте спереди. Его можно получить, либо честно перекосив координаты в стандартной формулировке теоремы де Муавра — Лапласа, либо из менее вычислительных соображений, которые мы ещё обсудим.
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26The Theory Of Probability
By Reichenbach Hans
Book Source: Digital Library of India Item 2015.234003 dc.contributor.author: Reichenbach Hans dc.date.accessioned: 2015-07-10T18:59:37Z dc.date.available: 2015-07-10T18:59:37Z dc.date.digitalpublicationdate: 2005-12-23 dc.date.citation: 1949 dc.identifier.barcode: 99999990131322 dc.identifier.origpath: /rawdataupload1/upload/0129/984 dc.identifier.copyno: 1 dc.identifier.uri: http://www.new.dli.ernet.in/handle/2015/234003 dc.description.scanningcentre: C-DAC, Noida dc.description.main: 1 dc.description.tagged: 0 dc.description.totalpages: 510 dc.format.mimetype: application/pdf dc.language.iso: English dc.publisher.digitalrepublisher: Digital Library Of India dc.publisher: University Of California Press, Berkeley And Los Angeles dc.rights: Regents Of The University Of California dc.source.library: Ratan Tata Library, University Delhi dc.subject.classification: Natural Sciences dc.title: The Theory Of Probability
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27DTIC ADA240243: A Re-Examination Of The Relationship Between Fuzzy Set Theory And Probability Theory.
By Defense Technical Information Center
Recently, a manner of articles have appeared in newspapers and popular magazines and journals emphasizing a dichotomy in regard to fuzzy sets: the great potential benefit of using an intuitively appealing and simple approach to modeling uncertainties and its almost universal rejection or avoidance by orthodox scientists in the United States trained in probability theory. Thus, once more, it is of some interest to attempt to determine dispassionately what relations, if any, exist between fuzzy sets and probabilities. Previously, Goodman et al. were the first to point out that rather basic connections do indeed exist between fuzzy set theory and probability theory via random sets and their one point coverage functions. (See, e.g. Goodman, Some new results concerning random sets and fuzzy sets, info. Sci. 34, 1984 or Goodman & Nguyen, Uncertainty Models for Knowledge-Based Systems (monograph), North-Holland Co., Amsterdam, 1985.) But relatively few individuals have utilized these connections (Dubois & Prade on occasion and Oblow emphasizing full random set representations through his hybrid O-Theory), mainly due to the foreboding complex structure of random sets - as compared to the relatively simple form of random variables or random vectors. Even the relatively recent contributions of Lindley, Klir, and others in comparing the roles and game theoretic admissibility properties of fuzzy sets and probabilities do not address the deeper relations between the two areas.
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- Subjects: ➤ DTIC Archive - Goodman, I R - NAVAL OCEAN SYSTEMS CENTER SAN DIEGO CA - *SET THEORY - *FUZZY SETS - *PROBABILITY - UNITED STATES - MODELS - NEWSPAPERS - THEORY - UNCERTAINTY - METHODOLOGY - FUNCTIONS - RANDOM VARIABLES
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28The Logic Of Chance : An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings And Its Application To Moral And Social Science, And To Statistics
By Venn, John, 1834-1923
Recently, a manner of articles have appeared in newspapers and popular magazines and journals emphasizing a dichotomy in regard to fuzzy sets: the great potential benefit of using an intuitively appealing and simple approach to modeling uncertainties and its almost universal rejection or avoidance by orthodox scientists in the United States trained in probability theory. Thus, once more, it is of some interest to attempt to determine dispassionately what relations, if any, exist between fuzzy sets and probabilities. Previously, Goodman et al. were the first to point out that rather basic connections do indeed exist between fuzzy set theory and probability theory via random sets and their one point coverage functions. (See, e.g. Goodman, Some new results concerning random sets and fuzzy sets, info. Sci. 34, 1984 or Goodman & Nguyen, Uncertainty Models for Knowledge-Based Systems (monograph), North-Holland Co., Amsterdam, 1985.) But relatively few individuals have utilized these connections (Dubois & Prade on occasion and Oblow emphasizing full random set representations through his hybrid O-Theory), mainly due to the foreboding complex structure of random sets - as compared to the relatively simple form of random variables or random vectors. Even the relatively recent contributions of Lindley, Klir, and others in comparing the roles and game theoretic admissibility properties of fuzzy sets and probabilities do not address the deeper relations between the two areas.
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- Author: Venn, John, 1834-1923
- Language: English
“The Logic Of Chance : An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings And Its Application To Moral And Social Science, And To Statistics” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Chance - Probabilities - Science -- Methodology - Logic, Symbolic and mathematical - Waarschijnlijkheidstheorie - Grondslagen - Sociale aspecten
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29The Logic Of Chance : An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings Ant Its Application To Moral And Social Science
By Venn, John
Recently, a manner of articles have appeared in newspapers and popular magazines and journals emphasizing a dichotomy in regard to fuzzy sets: the great potential benefit of using an intuitively appealing and simple approach to modeling uncertainties and its almost universal rejection or avoidance by orthodox scientists in the United States trained in probability theory. Thus, once more, it is of some interest to attempt to determine dispassionately what relations, if any, exist between fuzzy sets and probabilities. Previously, Goodman et al. were the first to point out that rather basic connections do indeed exist between fuzzy set theory and probability theory via random sets and their one point coverage functions. (See, e.g. Goodman, Some new results concerning random sets and fuzzy sets, info. Sci. 34, 1984 or Goodman & Nguyen, Uncertainty Models for Knowledge-Based Systems (monograph), North-Holland Co., Amsterdam, 1985.) But relatively few individuals have utilized these connections (Dubois & Prade on occasion and Oblow emphasizing full random set representations through his hybrid O-Theory), mainly due to the foreboding complex structure of random sets - as compared to the relatively simple form of random variables or random vectors. Even the relatively recent contributions of Lindley, Klir, and others in comparing the roles and game theoretic admissibility properties of fuzzy sets and probabilities do not address the deeper relations between the two areas.
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30The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Application To Moral And Social Science
By Venn, John, 1834-1923
Book digitized by Google from the library of the New York Public Library and uploaded to the Internet Archive by user tpb.
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31The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings And Its Application To Moral And Social Science
By Venn, John, 1834-1923
Book digitized by Google from the library of the New York Public Library and uploaded to the Internet Archive by user tpb.
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- Language: English
“The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings And Its Application To Moral And Social Science” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Chance - Probabilities - Science -- Methodology - Logic, Symbolic and mathematical - Waarschijnlijkheidstheorie - Grondslagen - Sociale aspecten
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32The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Application To Moral And Social Science
By Venn, John, 1834-1923
Book digitized by Google from the library of the University of Michigan and uploaded to the Internet Archive by user tpb.
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- Language: English
“The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Application To Moral And Social Science” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Chance - Probabilities - Science - Logic, Symbolic and mathematical
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33Lady Luck : The Theory Of Probability
By Weaver, Warren, 1894-1978
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34The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings And Its Application To Moral And Social Science
By Venn, John, (1834-1923)
2nd ed., re-written and greatly enlarged
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- Title: ➤ The Logic Of Chance. An Essay On The Foundations And Province Of The Theory Of Probability, With Especial Reference To Its Logical Bearings And Its Application To Moral And Social Science
- Author: Venn, John, (1834-1923)
- Language: English
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35Theory Of Probability- Convergence Of Martingales. Fundamental Wald's Identity.
By Dmitry Panchenko
2nd ed., re-written and greatly enlarged
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- Author: Dmitry Panchenko
- Language: English
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36Theory Of Probability- Empirical Process And Kolmogorov's Chaining.
By Dmitry Panchenko
2nd ed., re-written and greatly enlarged
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- Author: Dmitry Panchenko
- Language: English
“Theory Of Probability- Empirical Process And Kolmogorov's Chaining.” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Maths - Statistics and Probability - Probability - Inequalities and Limits Theorems - Chebyshev�s Inequality - Mathematics
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37Principles Of Applied Mathematics - 7. The Theory Of Probability (Supplement)
By Daniel Kleitman;Peter Shor
The definition of the variance of f is equivalent to its interpretation as the mean square of f's deviation from its mean. However, it can be used to put an upper limit on the probability that a random variable takes on values with deviations greater than x� for any x greater than 1. The simplest and worst such bound is called Tchebyshev's inequality.
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38General Boundary Quantum Field Theory: Foundations And Probability Interpretation
By Robert Oeckl
We elaborate on the proposed general boundary formulation as an extension of standard quantum mechanics to arbitrary (or no) backgrounds. Temporal transition amplitudes are generalized to amplitudes for arbitrary spacetime regions. State spaces are associated to general (not necessarily spacelike) hypersurfaces. We give a detailed foundational exposition of this approach, including its probability interpretation and a list of core axioms. We explain how standard quantum mechanics arises as a special case. We include a discussion of probability conservation and unitarity, showing how these concepts are generalized in the present framework. We formulate vacuum axioms and incorporate spacetime symmetries into the framework. We show how the Schroedinger-Feynman approach is a suitable starting point for casting quantum field theories into the general boundary form. We discuss the role of operators.
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- Author: Robert Oeckl
- Language: English
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39Quantum Measurements And Kolmogorovian Probability Theory
By D. A. Slavnov
We establish connections between the requirement of measurability of a probability space and the principle of complimentarity in quantum mechanics. It is shown that measurability of a probability space implies the dependence of results of quantum measurement not only on the properties of a quantum object under consideration, but also on the classical characteristics of the measuring device which is used. We show that if one takes into account the requirement of measurability in a quantum case, the Bell inequality does not follow from the hypothesis about the existence of an objective reality.
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40Free Moscow University, Spring 2021, Probability Theory, Moscow Tutorial 13
By Alexander Shpilkin
Probability theory course by Andronick Arutyunov at Free Moscow University, spring 2021, Moscow tutorials by Alex Shpilkin, tutorial 13 on 2021-05-16. Incomplete recording.
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41ERIC ED102731: On The Probability Of Winning In Competitive Bidding Theory. Paper No. 379.
By ERIC
Estimating the probability that a proposed bid will win is obviously a central problem in competitive bidding theory. Unfortunately, a method for doing this, which originated with Friedman and which continues to be expounded in the literature, is logically incorrect. This paper points out the deficiency in that formulation. (Author/MLF)
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- Author: ERIC
- Language: English
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42Probability Theory And Related Fields 1986: Vol 71 Table Of Contents
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1986: Volume 71 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1986-01_71_1 .
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- Language: English
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- Subjects: Mathematics - Scholarly Journals - microfilm
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43The Theory Of Probability, An Inquiry Into The Logical And Mathematical Foundations Of The Calculus Of Probability
By Hans Reichenbach
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1986: Volume 71 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1986-01_71_1 .
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- Author: Hans Reichenbach
- Language: English
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44Probability And Literary Form : Philosophic Theory And Literary Practice In The Augustan Age
By Patey, Douglas Lane
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1986: Volume 71 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1986-01_71_1 .
“Probability And Literary Form : Philosophic Theory And Literary Practice In The Augustan Age” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability And Literary Form : Philosophic Theory And Literary Practice In The Augustan Age
- Author: Patey, Douglas Lane
- Language: English
“Probability And Literary Form : Philosophic Theory And Literary Practice In The Augustan Age” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Criticism -- Great Britain -- History -- 18th century - English fiction -- 18th century -- History and criticism - Literature -- Philosophy - Probabilities
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: probabilityliter0000pate
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 1116.32 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 22 times, the file-s went public at Thu Aug 24 2023.
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45Probability Theory And Harmonic Analysis
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1986: Volume 71 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1986-01_71_1 .
“Probability Theory And Harmonic Analysis” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability Theory And Harmonic Analysis
- Language: English
“Probability Theory And Harmonic Analysis” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Probabilities -- Congresses - Harmonic analysis -- Congresses
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: probabilitytheor0000unse_n1t2
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 558.72 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 41 times, the file-s went public at Sat Jun 27 2020.
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46Schaum's Outline Of Theory And Problems Of Probability
By Lipschutz, Seymour
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1986: Volume 71 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1986-01_71_1 .
“Schaum's Outline Of Theory And Problems Of Probability” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Schaum's Outline Of Theory And Problems Of Probability
- Author: Lipschutz, Seymour
- Language: English
“Schaum's Outline Of Theory And Problems Of Probability” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ Probabilities -- Problems, exercises, etc - Probabilities -- Outlines, syllabi, etc - MATHEMATICS -- Probability & Statistics -- General - Probabilities
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: schaumsoutlineof0000lips_b1v4
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47Measure Theory Probability ( 1)
Measure Theory Probability ( 1)
“Measure Theory Probability ( 1)” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Measure Theory Probability ( 1)
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: measure-theory-probability-1
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48Quantum Probability Theory As A Common Framework For Reasoning And Similarity.
By Trueblood, Jennifer S., Pothos, Emmanuel M. and Busemeyer, Jerome R.
This article is from Frontiers in Psychology , volume 5 . Abstract None
“Quantum Probability Theory As A Common Framework For Reasoning And Similarity.” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Quantum Probability Theory As A Common Framework For Reasoning And Similarity.
- Authors: Trueblood, Jennifer S.Pothos, Emmanuel M.Busemeyer, Jerome R.
- Language: English
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: pubmed-PMC3990050
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49Probability Theory And Related Fields 1987: Vol 76 Table Of Contents
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1987: Volume 76 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Previous issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1987-08_75_4 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1987-09_76_1 .
“Probability Theory And Related Fields 1987: Vol 76 Table Of Contents” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability Theory And Related Fields 1987: Vol 76 Table Of Contents
- Language: English
“Probability Theory And Related Fields 1987: Vol 76 Table Of Contents” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Mathematics - Scholarly Journals - microfilm
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: ➤ sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1987_76_contents
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50Probability Theory And Related Fields 1993: Vol 97 Table Of Contents
Probability Theory and Related Fields 1993: Volume 97 , Issue Contents. Digitized from IA1631302-05 . Previous issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1993-09_96_4 . Next issue: sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1993-10_97_1-2 .
“Probability Theory And Related Fields 1993: Vol 97 Table Of Contents” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability Theory And Related Fields 1993: Vol 97 Table Of Contents
- Language: English
“Probability Theory And Related Fields 1993: Vol 97 Table Of Contents” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Mathematics - Scholarly Journals - microfilm
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: ➤ sim_probability-theory-and-related-fields_1993_97_contents
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Source: The Open Library
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1Probability theory, independence, interchangeability, Martingales
By Yuan-shih Chow

“Probability theory, independence, interchangeability, Martingales” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ Probability theory, independence, interchangeability, Martingales
- Author: Yuan-shih Chow
- Language: English
- Number of Pages: Median: 455
- Publisher: Springer-Verlag - Springer
- Publish Date: 1978
- Publish Location: New York
“Probability theory, independence, interchangeability, Martingales” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: Probabilities - Martingales (Mathematics)
Edition Identifiers:
- The Open Library ID: OL21345841M
- Online Computer Library Center (OCLC) ID: 4493759
- Library of Congress Control Number (LCCN): 78021693
- All ISBNs: 9780387903316 - 0387903313
Access and General Info:
- First Year Published: 1978
- Is Full Text Available: Yes
- Is The Book Public: No
- Access Status: Borrowable
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