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Prediction of events is fundamental to both human and artificial agents. The main problem with previous prediction techniques is that they cannot predict events that have never been experienced before. This dissertation addresses the problem of predicting such novelty by developing algorithms and computational models inspired from recent cognitive science theories conceptual blending theory and event segmentation theory. We were able to show that prediction accuracy for event or state prediction can be significantly improved using these methods. The main contribution of this dissertation is a new class of prediction techniques inspired by conceptual blending that improves prediction accuracy overall and has the ability to predict even events that have never been experienced before. We also show that event segmentation theory, when integrated with these techniques, results in greater computational efficiency. We implemented the new prediction techniques, and more traditional alternatives such as Markov and Bayesian techniques, and compared their prediction accuracy quantitatively for three domains a role-playing game, intrusion-system alerts, and event prediction of maritime paths in a discrete-event simulator. Other contributions include two new unification algorithms that improve over a nave one, and an exploration of ways to maintain a minimum-size knowledge base without affecting prediction accuracy.

Prediction of events is fundamental to both human and artificial agents. The main problem with previous prediction techniques is that they cannot predict events that have never been experienced before. This dissertation addresses the problem of predicting such novelty by developing algorithms and computational models inspired from recent cognitive science theories: conceptual blending theory and event segmentation theory. We were able to show that prediction accuracy for event or state prediction can be significantly improved using these methods. The main contribution of this dissertation is a new class of prediction techniques inspired by conceptual blending that improves prediction accuracy overall and has the ability to predict even events that have never been experienced before. We also show that event segmentation theory, when integrated with these techniques, results in greater computational efficiency. We implemented the new prediction techniques, and more traditional alternatives such as Markov and Bayesian techniques, and compared their prediction accuracy quantitatively for three domains: a role-playing game, intrusion-system alerts, and event prediction of maritime paths in a discrete-event simulator. Other contributions include two new unification algorithms that improve over a na ve one, and an exploration of ways to maintain a minimum-size knowledge base without affecting prediction accuracy.

1Hecyra: The Mother-In-Law

By Terence

Terence's six plays are comedies written while he was a slave to a Roman senator. NOTE: the main plot elements in Hecyra are quite unacceptable today: Pamphilus has just married a woman he does not recognize that he had earlier raped in a drunken fit; nor does she recognize him. His mistress Bacchis is upset with the marriage and rejects him. He then wanders off, returning only in time to discover his wife with a new child that can't possibly be his. It takes both Mother and Mother-in-Law, and Bacchis, to bring a happy ending out of this confusion. - Summary by ToddHW <BR><BR>Cast list:<BR> Laches, an aged Athenian, father of Pamphilus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a><br> Phidippus, an aged Athenian, father of Philumena: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/7170">alanmapstone</a><br> Pamphilus, son of Laches: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10789">Tomas Peter</a><br> Sosia, servant of Pamphilus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11535">Nemo</a><br> Parmeno, servant of Sostrata: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11417">Eva Davis</a><br> Sostrata, wife of Laches: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6281">Beth Thomas</a><br> Myrrhina, wife of Phidippus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11790">TJ Burns</a><br> Bacchis, a Courtesan: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10179">Sonia</a><br> Philotis, a Courtesan: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11084">Devorah Allen</a><br> Syra, a Procuress: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/4174">Availle</a><br> Stage directions: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10614">Leanne Yau</a><br> Edited by: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a>

2Andria: or, The Fair Andrian

By Terence

Pamphilus wants to marry a woman different than his father has chosen for him. Add in paternal scheming, death bed promises, shipwreck, and other complications, and comedy ensues. - Summary by ToddHW <BR><BR>Cast list:<BR> Simo, an aged Athenian: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/12874">Aaron White</a><br> Pamphilus, son of Simo: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13022">Josh Kibbey</a><br> Sosia, freedman of Simo: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11417">Eva Davis</a><br> Chremes, an aged Athenian: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a><br> Charinus, a young Athenian, in love with Philumena: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10789">Tomas Peter</a><br> Crito, a native of Andros: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/7170">alanmapstone</a><br> Davus, servant of Simo: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13072">Campbell Schelp</a><br> Dromo, servant of Simo: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11535">Nemo</a><br> Byrrhia, servant of Charinus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10614">Leanne Yau</a><br> Glycerium, a young woman beloved by Pamphilus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10614">Leanne Yau</a><br> Mysis, her maid-servant: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10179">Sonia</a><br> Lesbia, a midwife: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11790">TJ Burns</a><br> Stage Directions: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/12500">Foon</a><br> Edited by: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a>

3Eunuchus: The Eunuch

By Terence

Another of the plays by Terence translated from the Latin by Riley. "A certain citizen of Athens had a daughter named Pamphila, and a son called Chremes. The former was stolen while an infant, and sold to a Rhodian merchant, who having made a present of her to a Courtesan of Rhodes, she brought her up with her own daughter Thais, who was somewhat older." (From Translator summary) <br /> <br> Hmmm, so kidnapping and slavery to start off; then there will be eunuchs and rape before the play ends. And it is a comedy?! Ah, well, it was 200BC. Times and opinions (thank goodness) have changed at least a bit since then. - Summary by ToddHW <BR><BR>Cast list:<BR> Laches, an aged Athenian: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10801">Jim Locke</a><br> Phædria, his son: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/12874">Aaron White</a><br> Chærea, his son: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10789">Tomas Peter</a><br> Antipho, a young man, friend of Chærea: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13072">Campbell Schelp</a><br> Chremes, a young man, brother of Pamphila: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10957">Owen Cook</a><br> Thraso, a boastful Captain: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/7170">alanmapstone</a><br> Gnatho, a Parasite: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a><br> Parmeno, servant of Phædria: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8677">KHand</a><br> Sanga, cook to Thraso: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10087">Sandra Schmit</a><br> Dorus, a Eunuch slave: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13177">Frédéric Surget</a><br> Thais, a Courtesan: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/12500">Foon</a><br> Pythias, her attendant: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10179">Sonia</a><br> Dorias, her attendant: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10614">Leanne Yau</a><br> Sophrona, a nurse: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10614">Leanne Yau</a><br> Stage Directions: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8425">Larry Wilson</a><br> Edited By: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a>

4Heautontimorumenos; the Self-Tormentor

By Terence

Terence's six plays are comedies written while he was a slave to a Roman senator. In this one, a severe father compels his son Clinia, in love with Antiphila, to go abroad to the wars; and repenting of what has been done, torments himself in mind. - Summary by ToddHW <BR><BR>Cast list:<BR> Chremes, an old gentleman, living in the country: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13577">Adrian Stephens</a><br> Menedemus, an old gentleman, his neighbor: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a><br> Clinia, son of Menedemus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/7170">alanmapstone</a><br> Clitipho, son of Chremes: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10789">Tomas Peter</a><br> Dromo, servant of Clinia: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11535">Nemo</a><br> Syrus, servant of Clitipho: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8425">Larry Wilson</a><br> Sostrata, wife of Chremes: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11417">Eva Davis</a><br> Antiphila, a young woman beloved by Clinia: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11790">TJ Burns</a><br> Bacchis, a Courtesan, the mistress of Clitipho: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10179">Sonia</a><br> The Nurse of Antiphila: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13444">B L Newman</a><br> Phrygia, maid-servant to Bacchis: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10614">Leanne Yau</a><br> Stage Directions: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/12075">MichaelMaggs</a><br> Edited by: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a>

5Adelphi: or, The Brothers

By Terence

"Micio and Demea are two brothers of dissimilar tempers. Demea is married, and lives a country life, while his brother remains single, and resides in Athens." Things quickly get a bit messy with hushed-up debauchery, kidnapping/elopement/theft of a slave, general carousing, and marriage nuptials - the usual for the day perhaps, except that: "The Play concludes with a serious warning from Demea, who advises his relatives not to squander their means in riotous living; but, on the contrary, to bear admonition and to submit to restraint in a spirit of moderation and thankfulness." - Summary by The Translator <BR><BR>Cast list:<BR> Demea, Brother, aged Athenian: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6333">Max Körlinge</a><br> Micio, Brother, aged Athenian: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13830">Adam Bielka</a><br> Hegio, an aged Athenian, kinsman of Sostrata: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13851">Ethan Hurst</a><br> Æschinus, son of Demea, adopted by Micio: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10789">Tomas Peter</a><br> Ctesipho, another son of Demea: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13652">Shashank Jakhmola</a><br> Sannio, a Procurer: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8879">Son of the Exiles</a><br> Geta, servant of Sostrata: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a><br> Parmeno, servant of Micio: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11084">Devorah Allen</a><br> Syrus, servant of Micio: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/7170">alanmapstone</a><br> Dromo, servant of Micio: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11084">Devorah Allen</a><br> Pamphila, a young woman beloved by Æschinus: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8883">Lydia</a><br> Sostrata, a widow, mother of Pamphila: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8677">KHand</a><br> Canthara, a Nurse: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11417">Eva Davis</a><br> Stage Directions: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10179">Sonia</a><br> Edited: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a>

6Phormio; or, The Scheming Parasite

By Terence

"Chremes and Demipho are two aged Athenians, brothers. Nausistrata, the wife of Chremes, is a wealthy woman, possessed of large estates in the island of Lemnos. Chremes, who goes thither yearly to receive the rents, meets with a poor woman there, whom he secretly marries, and has by her a daughter called Phanium: while engaged in this intrigue, Chremes passes at Lemnos by the name of Stilpho. By his wife, Nausistrata, at Athens, Chremes has a son, named Phædria, and his brother has a son, named Antipho." Got all that? And so now, "Phanium having now arrived at her fifteenth year, the two brothers privately agree that she shall be brought to Athens and married to Antipho." - Summary by Translator and ToddHW <BR><BR>Cast list:<BR> Demipho, Aged Athenian, brother: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/4705">Algy Pug</a><br> Chremes, Aged Athenian, brother: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/7170">Alan Mapstone</a><br> Antipho, son of Demipho: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/14768">VocalPenguin</a><br> Phædria, son of Chremes: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/13577">Adrian Stephens</a><br> Phormio, a Parasite: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a><br> Geta, servant of Demipho: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10179">Sonia</a><br> Davus, a servant: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/5635">Matthew Reece</a><br> Hegio, Advocate: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/8879">Son of the Exiles</a><br> Cratinus, Advocate: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/12627">Dave Lantz</a><br> Crito, Advocate: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/10542">David Purdy</a><br> Dorio, a Procurer: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11535">Nemo</a><br> Nausistrata, the wife of Chremes: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/11417">Eva Davis</a><br> Sophrona, the nurse of Phanium: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/4174">Availle</a><br> Stage Directions: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/14337">ambsweet13</a><br> Editing: <a href="https://librivox.org/reader/6754">ToddHW</a>