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Epitome Study%3a Evaluating The Effect Of The Hostile Environment Policy On Mental Health Outcomes%3a A Bayesian Interrupted Time Series Analysis Of Uk Household Longitudinal Survey Data by Annie Jeffery

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1EPITOME Study: Evaluating The Effect Of The Hostile Environment Policy On Mental Health Outcomes: A Bayesian Interrupted Time Series Analysis Of UK Household Longitudinal Survey Data

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From 2012 onwards the UK Government announced a series of immigration policy reforms known as the “hostile environment” policy, which led to the so-called Windrush Scandal. Several hundred Commonwealth citizens who settled legally in the UK were falsely identified as undocumented - and in many cases deported. Aside from deportation, many people from minoritised ethnic groups in the UK lost livelihoods, jobs, incomes and benefits as a result of the hostile environment policy. We would expect the social and economic stressors introduced by the hostile environment policy to result in increases in mental health problems. Using data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study we plan to compare the change in psychological distress before and after the implementation of the 2014 Immigration Act, and before and after the 2017 Windrush Scandal media coverage, between people from minoritised ethnic groups and people of White ethnicity. We will do this using an interrupted time series design embedded in a Bayesian framework which accounts for fixed and time-varying confounders, as well as spatial and temporal uncertainty.

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