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Dtic Ada266925: The Accuracy Of Intelligence Assessment: Bias, Perception, And Judgement In Analysis And Decision by Defense Technical Information Center
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1DTIC ADA266925: The Accuracy Of Intelligence Assessment: Bias, Perception, And Judgement In Analysis And Decision
By Defense Technical Information Center
This paper examines bias, perception, a judgment in intelligence analysis and decision making. It asks if the accuracy of intelligence assessments can be improved. An answer is sought at fundamental levels of analysis, where biases influence observation, observations are mediated by preconception, and perceptions pass through the filter of critical judgment. Unintentional human errors in observing, perceiving, and judging are the central issues of this paper. Deliberate distortions of intelligence through political calculation or service parochialism are treated peripherally. A survey of literature leads to the conclusion that analytic bias is inevitable; that intelligence concepts are necessary and dangerous; and that uncertainty ensures a margin of error in assessment. Therefore, efforts to eliminate bias and increase the objectivity of intelligence officers are unproductive. Instead, efforts should focus on the suitability and adaptability of concepts. Intelligence officers can be encouraged to use concepts flexibly by exercising several qualities of critical judgment.... Intelligence, Misperception of Adversaries, Bias and Intelligence, Perception and Intelligence, Judgment and intelligence, Ethics and intelligence, Analysis and Decision
“DTIC ADA266925: The Accuracy Of Intelligence Assessment: Bias, Perception, And Judgement In Analysis And Decision” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ DTIC ADA266925: The Accuracy Of Intelligence Assessment: Bias, Perception, And Judgement In Analysis And Decision
- Author: ➤ Defense Technical Information Center
- Language: English
“DTIC ADA266925: The Accuracy Of Intelligence Assessment: Bias, Perception, And Judgement In Analysis And Decision” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ DTIC Archive - Butterfield, Alexander P , Jr - NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI - *MILITARY INTELLIGENCE - *DECISION MAKING - *PSYCHOLOGY - UNCERTAINTY - HUMANS - OBSERVATION - ACCURACY - SURVEYS - ERRORS - ETHICS - JUDGEMENT(PSYCHOLOGY) - BIAS - DISTORTION - PERCEPTION(PSYCHOLOGY) - AWARENESS
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: DTIC_ADA266925
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The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 69.79 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 94 times, the file-s went public at Sun Mar 11 2018.
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