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Causal Deviance (experiment 5) by Paul Henne

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1Causal Deviance (Experiment 5)

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For this experiment, I am running another case of primary causal deviance like the cases in Experiments 1, 3, and 4. This was planned in the registration for Experiment 4. For this experiment, I will keep my hypothesis from Experiments 3 and 4 the same: if people's perception of how much an agent's having desired the outcome caused the outcome does not explain judgments of intentionality in cases of causal deviance, then (1) people should judge the potential action as less intentional in the deviant scenario than in the normal, non-deviant scenario, and (2) people should judge that the agent's having desired the outcome was just as causal in bringing about the outcome in the deviant scenario as in the normal scenario (i.e., no evidence to reject the null). Nonetheless, I expect the results of this experiment to be in line with the results of Experiments 3 and 4—i.e., I expect my hypothesis to be incorrect—as Experiments 3 and 4 found no evidence in support of this hypothesis. I am running another case of primary causal deviance here to determine whether my hypothesis was incorrect and the vignette from Experiment 1 was an aberrant case or whether my hypothesis from Experiments 3 and 4 was correct but the case from Experiments 3 and 4 was aberrant. If this experiment's results are in line with those in Experiments 3 and 4, then I have some evidence to suggest that something about Experiment 1 is unusual and my hypothesis from Experiments 3 and 4 was incorrect. If, however, these results are in line with those in Experiment 1, then I have reason to think there was something unusual about the case from Experiments 3 and 4 and that the hypothesis may be correct. If the former is the case, then I will accept that my hypothesis from Experiments 3 and 4 is incorrect. If the latter is the case, I will likely need to run another experiment to determine what aspect of the case produced the pattern of results in Experiments 3 and 4.

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