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Nasa Technical Reports Server (ntrs) 20160012263%3a Monte Carlo Bayesian Inference On A Statistical Model Of Sub Gridcolumn Moisture Variability Using High Resolution Cloud Observations. Part 2%3a Sensitivity Tests And Results by Nasa Technical Reports Server (ntrs)
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1NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 20160012263: Monte Carlo Bayesian Inference On A Statistical Model Of Sub-Gridcolumn Moisture Variability Using High-Resolution Cloud Observations. Part 2: Sensitivity Tests And Results
By NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)
Part 1 of this series presented a Monte Carlo Bayesian method for constraining a complex statistical model of global circulation model (GCM) sub-gridcolumn moisture variability using high-resolution Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) cloud data, thereby permitting parameter estimation and cloud data assimilation for large-scale models. This article performs some basic testing of this new approach, verifying that it does indeed reduce mean and standard deviation biases significantly with respect to the assimilated MODIS cloud optical depth, brightness temperature and cloud-top pressure and that it also improves the simulated rotational-Raman scattering cloud optical centroid pressure (OCP) against independent (non-assimilated) retrievals from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI). Of particular interest, the Monte Carlo method does show skill in the especially difficult case where the background state is clear but cloudy observations exist. In traditional linearized data assimilation methods, a subsaturated background cannot produce clouds via any infinitesimal equilibrium perturbation, but the Monte Carlo approach allows non-gradient-based jumps into regions of non-zero cloud probability. In the example provided, the method is able to restore marine stratocumulus near the Californian coast, where the background state has a clear swath. This article also examines a number of algorithmic and physical sensitivities of the new method and provides guidance for its cost-effective implementation. One obvious difficulty for the method, and other cloud data assimilation methods as well, is the lack of information content in passive-radiometer-retrieved cloud observables on cloud vertical structure, beyond cloud-top pressure and optical thickness, thus necessitating strong dependence on the background vertical moisture structure. It is found that a simple flow-dependent correlation modification from Riishojgaard provides some help in this respect, by better honouring inversion structures in the background state.
“NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 20160012263: Monte Carlo Bayesian Inference On A Statistical Model Of Sub-Gridcolumn Moisture Variability Using High-Resolution Cloud Observations. Part 2: Sensitivity Tests And Results” Metadata:
- Title: ➤ NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 20160012263: Monte Carlo Bayesian Inference On A Statistical Model Of Sub-Gridcolumn Moisture Variability Using High-Resolution Cloud Observations. Part 2: Sensitivity Tests And Results
- Author: ➤ NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)
- Language: English
“NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 20160012263: Monte Carlo Bayesian Inference On A Statistical Model Of Sub-Gridcolumn Moisture Variability Using High-Resolution Cloud Observations. Part 2: Sensitivity Tests And Results” Subjects and Themes:
- Subjects: ➤ NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - Norris, Peter M. - Universities Space Research Association - da Silva, Arlindo M.
Edition Identifiers:
- Internet Archive ID: NASA_NTRS_Archive_20160012263
Downloads Information:
The book is available for download in "texts" format, the size of the file-s is: 8.03 Mbs, the file-s for this book were downloaded 22 times, the file-s went public at Wed Jan 13 2021.
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